Matias Soto vs Valerio Aboian Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In the evaluation of second serve performance over the past six months, Soto has emerged slightly stronger by winning 43.84% of points compared to Aboian's 41.46%. This metric is highly indicative of match prediction accuracy. Furthermore, in return game statistics, Soto has outperformed with a 47.09% success rate on opponents' second serve points, while Aboian holds a 44.64% rate. However, Aboian surpasses Soto in first serve returns with 28.88% compared to Soto's 23.74%, a crucial factor in determining the favored player in their head-to-head matchups.

The head-to-head records reveal that the two players have competed once, with Aboian securing victory. That match, held at the M15 Concepcion on 14-12-2023, saw Aboian win after three sets: 6-7(5), 6-4, 6-1. Their average match duration stands at 2 hours and 50 minutes, and they have contested one deciding set, in which Aboian triumphed. Despite Soto winning the only tiebreaker they've played, Aboian's overall head-to-head performance advantage is noteworthy.

Under pressure, Soto has been more proficient, saving 53.44% of breakpoints against him, compared to Aboian's 50% save rate. Conversely, when it comes to break point conversion, Aboian excels with a 37.84% success rate, outperforming Soto's 27.03%, which may influence live betting predictions.

Analyzing last year's performance overview, Soto has a winning percentage of 63.41% with a win-loss record of 52-30, whereas Aboian has achieved a 50% winning percentage with a 37-37 record. This performance discrepancy is an essential element in predicting match outcomes. Both players exhibit their best career performance on clay, with Soto holding a 63% win rate and Aboian slightly behind at 62%.

In terms of player level, both have predominantly participated in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K over the past year. Soto emerged winning 47.73% of these matches with a win-loss slate of 21-23, marginally ahead of Aboian's 47.06% with a 24-27 record. Relative event levels must be considered when drawing comparisons and predictions between the two players.

When examining opponent quality over the past year, Soto's competition had an average ranking of 356.66, surpassing the caliber of Aboian's opponents, who had an average ranking of 400.28—the higher quality of Soto's opponents suggests an edge in competitive rigor. Moreover, Soto has won 50% of deciding sets they played over the last 12 months, while Aboian stands at 42%, a pertinent statistic for matches that extend to a deciding set.

The analysis indicates that, based on recent performance metrics and head-to-head records, Aboian exhibits a slight edge, especially with a head-to-head victory against Soto. The balance of power appears to favor Aboian as the predicted victor of their upcoming encounter.